Joined
·
86 Posts
Saw this on my own local news just now.
Police Provide Extra Security For Unitil Workers - New Hampshire Ice Storm News Story - WMUR Manchester
I think it has some lessons for preparing for likely natural disasters.
Takeaways for me.
1. Lot of people are unprepared for likely disasters -- this isn't the first time folks have been without power during ice storms. So if you are preparing for the end of civilization, are you also prepared for house fire and ice storms / power outages (or whatever your likely local disasters are?)
2. I think this gives some insight into human behavior. While there is anger (at being unprepared) in this case it is directed at power companies. There's no looting, robbing, or mobs in this more likely type of disaster.
3. I also find people's expectations interesting. In this case, some people expect utilities to be there or to be fixed quickly. What do we each expect? Water? Food supply? Economic stability? What is the likelihood of that expectation not being met? Are we reasonably prepared for it given the likelihood and impact?
It is so important to focus on facts about likelihood. Otherwise our tendency as humans is to misjudge the risk and focus on unlikely scenarios due to a variety of cognitive biases that we are all prone to. So we end up prepared for that one movie plot scenario only to have something totally common happen which we never prepared for.
EDIT: wishing the best for those in the northeast -- it is a terrible thing to be cold and without power. Wished I could help somehow.
Police Provide Extra Security For Unitil Workers - New Hampshire Ice Storm News Story - WMUR Manchester
I think it has some lessons for preparing for likely natural disasters.
Takeaways for me.
1. Lot of people are unprepared for likely disasters -- this isn't the first time folks have been without power during ice storms. So if you are preparing for the end of civilization, are you also prepared for house fire and ice storms / power outages (or whatever your likely local disasters are?)
2. I think this gives some insight into human behavior. While there is anger (at being unprepared) in this case it is directed at power companies. There's no looting, robbing, or mobs in this more likely type of disaster.
3. I also find people's expectations interesting. In this case, some people expect utilities to be there or to be fixed quickly. What do we each expect? Water? Food supply? Economic stability? What is the likelihood of that expectation not being met? Are we reasonably prepared for it given the likelihood and impact?
It is so important to focus on facts about likelihood. Otherwise our tendency as humans is to misjudge the risk and focus on unlikely scenarios due to a variety of cognitive biases that we are all prone to. So we end up prepared for that one movie plot scenario only to have something totally common happen which we never prepared for.
EDIT: wishing the best for those in the northeast -- it is a terrible thing to be cold and without power. Wished I could help somehow.